Daily MLB forecast data

Today's MLB Player Projections

Daily hitter and pitcher forecasts adjusted for opposing starters, handedness, confirmed lineups, home and road form, ballparks, roof conditions, temperature and wind. Available market lines are displayed as research context without changing the underlying projection model.

Forecast update
July 22, 2026
Generated 10:37 a.m. EDT

Forecast rows are immutable once saved so historical model performance can be measured against the information available at generation time.

Forecast rows
216

Raw player and metric forecasts in the latest saved run.

Players
27

Unique hitters and pitchers represented in the forecast.

Games
2

Distinct MLB matchups represented by the current data.

Context-rich rows
216

140 rows also contain an available market line.

Season accuracy is temporarily unavailable.

Latest MLB Forecast Table

Filter the public research table. The full terminal includes deeper player history, matchup views and model-performance tools.

PlayerMetricProjectionRangeMatchupEnvironmentMarket lineProjection vs lineConfidence
Jasson Domínguez
NYY vs PIT · hitter
Walks0.160.0–0.0
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 5
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
0.5
DraftKings
-0.3490
Ben Rice
NYY vs PIT · hitter
Runs0.560.0–1.0
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 2
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
0.5
DraftKings
+0.0690
Trent Grisham
NYY vs PIT · hitter
Walks0.440.0–1.0
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 1
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
0.5
DraftKings
-0.0690
Trent Grisham
NYY vs PIT · hitter
Runs0.670.0–1.0
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 1
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
0.5
DraftKings
+0.1790
Jasson Domínguez
NYY vs PIT · hitter
RBI0.190.0–0.0
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 5
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
0.5
DraftKings
-0.3190
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT vs NYY · hitter
Total Bases2.360.0–3.8
Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Road · batting 4
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
1.5
DraftKings
+0.8690
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT vs NYY · hitter
RBI1.010.0–2.0
Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Road · batting 4
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
0.5
DraftKings
+0.5190
Trent Grisham
NYY vs PIT · hitter
Total Bases1.750.0–3.8
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 1
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
1.5
DraftKings
+0.2590
Ben Rice
NYY vs PIT · hitter
RBI0.700.0–1.0
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 2
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
0.5
DraftKings
+0.2090
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT vs NYY · hitter
Runs0.780.0–1.0
Gerrit Cole (RHP)
Road · batting 4
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
0.5
DraftKings
+0.2890
Wilyer Abreu
BOS vs BAL · hitter
Runs0.690.0–1.0
Dean Kremer (RHP)
Home · batting 3
Fenway Park
Environment pending83°F11 mph
0.5
BetMGM
+0.1990
Trent Grisham
NYY vs PIT · hitter
RBI0.450.0–1.0
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 1
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
0.5
DraftKings
-0.0590
Jasson Domínguez
NYY vs PIT · hitter
Runs0.400.0–1.0
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 5
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
0.5
DraftKings
-0.1090
Spencer Jones
NYY vs PIT · hitter
Total Bases1.460.0–3.8
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 3
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
1.5
DraftKings
-0.0490
Cody Bellinger
NYY vs PIT · hitter
Total Bases1.280.1–2.1
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 4
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
1.5
DraftKings
-0.2290
Cody Bellinger
NYY vs PIT · hitter
Walks0.340.0–1.0
Mitch Keller (RHP)
Home · batting 4
Yankee Stadium
Environment pending83°F10 mph
0.5
DraftKings
-0.1690
Caleb Durbin
BOS vs BAL · hitter
Total Bases1.680.0–3.8
Dean Kremer (RHP)
Home · batting 5
Fenway Park
Environment pending83°F11 mph
1.5
DraftKings
+0.1890
Connor Wong
BOS vs BAL · hitter
Walks0.430.0–1.0
Dean Kremer (RHP)
Home · batting 8
Fenway Park
Environment pending83°F11 mph
0.5
DraftKings
-0.0790
Jarren Duran
BOS vs BAL · hitter
RBI0.440.0–1.0
Dean Kremer (RHP)
Home · batting 7
Fenway Park
Environment pending83°F11 mph
0.5
DraftKings
-0.0690
Willson Contreras
BOS vs BAL · hitter
Walks0.470.0–1.0
Dean Kremer (RHP)
Home · batting 4
Fenway Park
Environment pending83°F11 mph
0.5
DraftKings
-0.0390

Showing the first 20 of 150 matching forecasts. Open Shark Desk for the complete dataset, player history and matchup research.

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Ballpark and Weather Context

Forecasts can retain the game's exact venue, open-air or dome environment, retractable-roof status, temperature, wind speed and wind direction. Missing data remains marked as unknown instead of being guessed.

Opposing-Pitcher Matchups

Hitter forecasts incorporate the opposing starter and throwing hand when available. Pitcher forecasts can account for the opposing lineup's left-handed, right-handed and switch-hitter composition.

Immutable Forecast History

Saved runs preserve the projection and matchup context that existed at generation time. After games finish, actual results can be attached without rewriting the original forecast.

MLB projection methodology

What goes into a daily Bosh Roid MLB forecast?

The core forecast starts with player performance data and recent form reduced toward a longer-term baseline. It can then apply contextual adjustments for home or road form, opposing-pitcher handedness, lineup position, stadium history, roof environment, temperature, wind and opponent lineup composition. Small samples receive less weight so a few unusual games cannot overwhelm the primary projection.

Recent and season form
Opposing starter and hand
Home, road and lineup role
Park, roof, weather and wind

MLB Projection FAQ

How often are the MLB projections updated?

The public page displays the latest completed Shark Desk forecast run. A new run can be saved when probable pitchers, confirmed lineups, roof status or weather materially change.

Do market lines change the player projection?

No. The player projection is generated from the baseball model first. An available market line is attached afterward as a comparison point so the underlying forecast remains independent.

Are indoor and outdoor stadiums treated differently?

The saved context can distinguish open-air parks, fixed domes, retractable roofs open, retractable roofs closed and unknown conditions.

Can the model evaluate historical performance?

Yes. Immutable forecast snapshots can be graded against final player statistics to calculate projection error by metric, environment, handedness, home or road status and other saved context.