Model Performance
Long-term prop model consistency and ROI tracking
All Time:803W–768L–0P
Win Rate: 51.1%
ROI: -7.1%
Avg Edge: +2.19
Avg Odds: -107.98
Total Graded: 1590
Overall Summary
Total Bets
1571
Wins
803
Losses
768
Pushes
0
Profit
-111.7u
$-11170
ROI
-7.1%
Win Rate
51.1%
803W-768L
Recent Performance
Last 7 Days
Record
0W – 0L – 0P
Win Rate
0%
Units
+0u
ROI
+0%
Avg Edge
+0
Avg Odds
-110
Bets
0
Last 30 Days
Record
0W – 0L – 0P
Win Rate
0%
Units
+0u
ROI
+0%
Avg Edge
+0
Avg Odds
-110
Bets
0
Cumulative Units Over Time
Performance by Market Type
| Market | Bets | W | L | P | Win Rate | Units | ROI | Avg Odds | Avg Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 923 | 464 | 459 | 0 | 50.3% | -57.7u $-5770 | -6.3% | -105.41 | +2.85 |
| Rebounds | 348 | 192 | 156 | 0 | 55.2% | -5.1u $-510 | -1.5% | -98.73 | +1.46 |
| Assists | 118 | 52 | 66 | 0 | 44.1% | -23.4u $-2340 | -19.9% | -88.31 | +1.44 |
| 3-Pointers | 182 | 95 | 87 | 0 | 52.2% | -25.5u $-2550 | -14% | -151.51 | +0.76 |
Performance by Confidence Bucket
80+ conf.
235 betsRecord129W–106L–0P
Win Rate54.9%
Profit
-30.8u
$-3080
ROI-13.1%
70-79 conf.
208 betsRecord109W–99L–0P
Win Rate52.4%
Profit
-20.1u
$-2010
ROI-9.7%
60-69 conf.
989 betsRecord502W–487L–0P
Win Rate50.8%
Profit
-53u
$-5300
ROI-5.4%
Below 60
139 betsRecord63W–76L–0P
Win Rate45.3%
Profit
-7.8u
$-780
ROI-5.6%
All results graded against finalized ESPN box scores. Pregame lines locked at signal creation time. Last refreshed 2:57 PM.